Blogging Birds

Blogging Birds

Sunday, March 11, 2012

Iran : Nuclear or No-Clear!

Iran is possibly the most advanced technical nation in the middle east. Despite reeling under sanctions for the last many years, it has managed to keep a steady economy and a good pace with technology.

Iranian people are unique, intelligent and very kind. Culturally and traditionally Iranians have been very progressive.

The irony with most Third World Countries is that there are two Parallel Sections of society. One which  still lives in the 18th century world and one which has moved to the current modern world. The large part of rural population in these countries, which includes most of Asian and Middle Eastern countries, still lives with 18th century thinking  And for these masses, it is religion, old traditions and classical lifestyle of keeping their women behind veil more important then the gender equality or a modern society with a developed economy and general upliftment of the masses.

Politicians have well understood this and played to this segment of society and overruled the modern society, which actually forms the strength of that nation. The net result is that who are the net contributors to the developed part of developing economies are the sufferers .

Iran is another classical case of the same type. Having thrown the King out, it got the religious Kings take over the country. And when you allow religion to control a society, then either the nation has to be a temple and people live a life of a monk as in Tibet and Bhutan or it becomes a Talibanized state,  like erstwhile Afghanistan . Both cases do not reflect a normal society. Though in case of Iran, its elite have distanced themselves from religion and have lived a progressive life. Much to the dislike of its government.

Now on the nuclear issues. Iran needs to ask itself. If the Nuclear power is worth being marginalized from the whole world. Does it have any sanctity for its people. Will it bring any change into the lives of the common man. Will it lead to the development of the country in anyway or it is the very source of conflict and shall bring about a race in the region for Nuclear Bombs.

India did the same mistake. It went in to test the Nuclear bomb and within days, Pakistan followed with its bomb. Net  result is that now India sits with a nuclear hostile neighbor. What stops tomorrow Saudi, or Egypt or for that matter, even Baharin to start making a nuclear bomb and what stops one of these regimes to then go ahead and misuse the bomb.

Iran has no perceived threat from any country. It does not need a Nuclear Bomb and if its nuclear assets are a matter of concern to the world. It should liberally allow inspection.

Sanction free Iran has the capability to then become as rich and prosperous and advanced as any First World country.  So, is the nuclear power more important or the richness of its people and an advanced country more important.

There is no heroism in making a nuclear bomb. We all learnt it in our Physics in class 12. Uranium enrichment and neutron bombing of the nucleus yields endless heat. All it takes a few centrifuges and a neutron accelerator to make a bomb. What is the big deal about it.

The big heroism of course is like what Lula has done to Brazil. Made it into a roaring flourishing economy with general upliftment of people. Lula will be remembered by history and applauded by the world. Will the Iranian leaders learn from Brazil.

I am also worried about the threats being issued by Israel to Iran. We have all seen that in the name of nuclear non compliance, the Iraq war was triggered and left a very sorry country. Do we really need another war?







Syria : Chicken Hearted Diplomacy!

When it was Libya, France took an initiative  of sky raiding the country and overthrowing " Qaddafi". Europe , US and others supported with the exception of few .

One wonders, if life in Syria is less worth then life of a person in Libya. It is now around a year that people in Syria are fighting against a regime, which has now ruled them for more then half a century. When it was Libya, quickly NATO and others jumped on the wagon and crippled the governing forces. However, in Syria, despite the screaming clamor of help by the people and the breakaway army faction, the world is idling on it.

Yesterday, Kofi Annan made a pitch with Assad and came back empty handed. UN like a lame duck has hardly every been able to bring fruitful results in any conflict zone. Whether it was Somalia, Rwanda or Egypt. If Kofi had any  guts, he should have told Assad that the world has been too much patient and he would surely meet the fate of Qaddafi or Saddam or Hosni, if he did not make a quick exit now. However, he goes and cries for reconciliation , when he clearly sees millions of protesters on the road and hundreds of killings. And why reconciliation with a Dictator ? Is Kofi an ex UN Chief or a Conflict Tourister.

In case of Libya, very quickly the International Criminal Court stepped in and brought a warrant for the capture of Qaddafi on his war crimes. In case of Assad, the ICC does nothing. Who will have faith in ICC henceforth.

The Americans have been giving lip service and no one wants to assign the job to NATO. It is also seen that OIC has no meaning to any of its following countries. All big talks and big blown up budgets, but no one is bothered about the Arab League .

Turkey sits on the fence and watches the drama unfold. No one has the guts to fight Assad.

It is time, when NATO takes over the sky raiding and the rebel army is reinforced. Assad has still time to exit, but not too much.