Blogging Birds

Blogging Birds

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Middle East War : And the Winner is "George Bush".

The whole world, UN, Arab League and the man on my street here is now screaming that US and NATO forces should do the needful in Middle East. They want each of these dictators to be booted out and a New Democratic Order put in place. And perhaps, I am the only one saying that now this booting will never be required again. George Bush has set the example . If dictators don't step aside and take this opportunity to slip into some heavenly resort in oblivion , then they risk getting hanged and be ashamed in history books. Egypt and Tunisia dictators were smart and they understood well and will enjoy the balance of their lives. However, for all the others, it is about time they take a clue or take a blue.

Unfortunately, the media does not boldly transfer this message across the continent. It is only reflecting the things as they happen. Nor does global leadership come and announce, beware, it was only US last time in Iraq, but now the whole world is supporting the ouster of dictators.

In retrospect, the world is accepting that , what George Bush did in removing Saddam Hussein was the good and right way of removing a dictator and bringing Democracy to a nation. I was perhaps the only person who kept screaming that though Bush reasoning of attacking Iraq on WMD is wrong , yet Saddam needs to be booted out. And Dictators like Saddam do not leave without a war. Hence, the last option has to be exercised. No one ever supported my argument.

It is another matter that after collapse of Saddam Bath party, the most unusual thing took over the country. Atleast for me , I never had known that there was such a strong sectarian divide between he local population and Iran and Syria would immediately try to exercise influence and bring its sect into leadership. But, then that was me. I did not expect the American army to not know about this. The transition to democracy became a nightmare guerrilla war between two sects and the US army.

Here too , I would say, US army is just too naive. We have seen this in Iraq and we have seen this in Afghanistan and before that in Vietnam and in Korea . They know, how to enter a war very fast. But they don't know, how to Win A War.

I once told a visiting American Diplomat, that your army chief in Afghanistan comes on TV and then announces that we are sorry for the civilians life , while shooting Taliban's in remote areas. He should stand up and say, Mr Hamid Karzai, I would request you to kindly ensure that the civilian population does not mix up with the Talibans otherwise, our air strikes still do not have such high technology ,where it can sense, the target as Taliban or Civilians. We will guarantee that our targets will be always hit and if civilians choose to cover Taliban's, then our bombs will not distinguish them.

Iraq was still more blunderous. At the height of insurgency, US was only trying to tame the insurgency and was trying to bring in some kind of order. A totally wrong strategy, which resulted into 8 years of continuous killings and then formation of a government, which could easily be seen sliding towards Iran and Syria. Much against the wishes of US.

But, who is to blame again ? US ofcourse . If only George Bush was a leader like Winston Churchill, he would have gone and told Iraq, I will give you 6 months to behave yourself and stop all these insurgent activities and cooperate to form a government, otherwise, I would divide Iraq into four quarter, one for Kurds, One for Shias , One for Sunni and the Oil Rich for The Americans .

All the divisions would have finished amongst all the sects and each of them would have mutually respected other sect to ensure that Americans don't get away with the Oil and don't divide their country. However, Bush was nowhere comparable to Churchill . Brits had divided Iraq into Iraq and Kuwait. Infact the whole Ottoman empire collapse was overseen by the Brits and they were the ones who drew lines on maps for territorial divisions. Which the Palestinians are fighting it out till today.

Bush finally got booted by one of the journalist in Baghdad . And the whole world laughed it out. For me it was the day of Ultimate Victory of Democracy in Iraq. If Bush was sensible , he should have got the boot er onto the stage and told the global audience. Today, a journalist in Iraq can stand up and throw a shoe onto me as guest of of Iraq President. If only this was done at the time of Saddam, he would have been thrown to the Piranhas and his bones would have been kept for viewing in State Museum. Therefore , for him, with all the evils of the war, yet the human rights of people and a fearless future for this journalist is still a gift from Bush.

The Media had a ball of a time during the Iraq War. Bush Beating was the subject and perhaps, till his last day in office, he was considered a bigger Monster then Nixon.

However, look at the Irony of fate, the situation in Middle East has galvanized into a state, where the whole world is begging practically for US and NATO to do the Bush .

Most interestingly, much of it will not be required as none of the dictators will forget the fate of Saddam or Milosevic and now of Charles Taylor. It only needs a small warning and repeated showing of clips of hanging of Saddam on international TV . And also show, how Egypt and Tunisia ex Prez are enjoying their lives . Rest will happen automatically.

Libya currently is being debated for arming the rebels. This would be a disaster. Only simple convincing of Gaddaffi and an exit route is enough. His loyalist should be then allowed to from a political party and contest an election. It is as easy as that. If he refuses to move, serve him an International Criminal Court order for attacking his own people and then move the international force quickly in the name of arresting him. All would be over within 5 days. Also becomes lessons for all the nearby countries.

So, the next big question, what happens, if it shows the Iraq effect of civilian divide and insurgency and terrorism. The answer is simple, get the place secured by an Arab Army like Egypt and let the western armies only remain on border control . The major failure of Americans in Iraq was open Syrian and Iran borders. This made easier for foreign fighters to move into the conflict zone. And still if it breaks into insurgency , then that is fate accompli. Atleast, the world was not seen wanting , when people were crying for help.

Yemen is automatically sliding, Bahrain and all other Kingdoms will have to sit and plan a Monarchy Honorarium like UK etc , Syria is in the most difficult situation. Others waiting to happen are Algeria, Iran, Myanmar etc. We will talk about them as things evolve.

Meantime, Obama should announce a date for sharing his peace price with Bush.











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